Good Monday morning everybody! I hope you had a chance to enjoy the weather this weekend, because the overall pattern here in the Northeast will turn very unsettled starting tomorrow, lasting through this weekend. For Ski Country and all you snow lovers, get pumped – we could be talking about 2 to 3 FEET of snow across the mountains over the next week! And for those of you who may be getting a little sick of Old Man Winter, the official start to spring is only 26 days away…and we have mild sunshine to enjoy today!
Forecasting through this upcoming period is going to be very tricky though and at this point, it’s hard to be completely confident in how the weather is going to pan out over the next several days. So let’s start out with what we do know…
In the days ahead, a massive blocking pattern will evolve over the northeast United States. Essentially what this means is that a big upper level low is going to stall off our coastline, bringing unsettled weather to New England for an extended amount of time. The position of the upper level low will play a pivotal role in determining the magnitude and duration of each separate storm.
The first storm will impact New England’s weather tomorrow and Wednesday. Expect light snow to break out tomorrow morning, where a thin coating to an inch is possible outside of 495 especially by tomorrow’s morning commute. The precip will become steadier through the afternoon and evening with the heaviest expected to fall overnight Tuesday through midday Wednesday.
Snow will turn to rain along our southern New England coastlines, but continue as snow across the high terrain of the interior. I’d say we’re looking 1-3 sloppy inches across the interior of southern and central New England by Wednesday morning (outside of 495), with 3″-6″+ inches when you come back from the Berkshires and Green Mountains to the high terrain of north-central MA, southwest NH and the White Mountains.
Keep in mind that this is just one chunk of energy/moisture…more is on the way…
Another storm will develop in the Atlantic and get pulled into New England on Thursday night/Friday. The potential exists for another round significant snowfall, even in southern New England, along with flooding concerns as a persistent wind off the ocean combined with astronomically high tides piles up water at our coastlines.
Be prepared for some changes as the week wears on, and a lot of shorter updates on the blog as we nail down the details over the coming few days.
