After two Blizzards in a Week from the Mid-Atlantic to the Northern Plains, 2/3rds of the nation experienced a White Christmas. Ho Ho Ho! The pattern of extremes is showing no signs of letting go of it’s grip on the nation. More cold and snow is likely in the coming two weeks as pressures will be rising in the North Atlantic, creating blocking and a wavy pattern to the jetstream which is good for storm development followed by cold blasts of air. Look inside for a full weather discussion if you dare!

1st things first!
An area of low pressure is crossing through New England today. It has brought .50-1.25″ of rain along with it since last night. Rain will be winding down by the midday…though continue in Maine through the afternoon. There is one large pocket of dry air & sunshine in New York and Pennsylvania that will follow in this afternoon behind our departing low. Temperatures have started off very mild in the 40’s and lwr 50’s. Developing Sunshine and a drying west wind should allow for a fine afternoon in southern New England with highs in the lwr to mid 50’s!

Monday Snowfall
Watch for areas of Black ice tonight. With today’s departing moisture…skies are now clearing and temps are falling quickly. Conditions are becoming could become quite slippery in the Northwest overnight. Clouds will be increasing overnight ahead of our next disturbance which will be here for Monday. Monday will feature cloudy skies and a burst of accumulating snow showers during the afternoon and evening. Temperatures along the coastal plain will likely be just warm enough to support mostly rain with a brief change over to snow by Monday night. It appears the heaviest snow/precip will occur in Northern New England with the most accumulation in the hilly terrain…with less towards the coast. Expect a general 1-2″ snowfall from Worcester points North and west….with 3-6″ of snow possible in the hills and mountains from the Green Mountains, White Mountains and the Foothills of Maine….even interiors of Main can expect a 3-6″ snowfall in places like Skowhegan, Bangor, and Millinocket.

Arctic Blast
This Burst of snow will be followed by an Arctic Front which will blast through Monday Night and off the coast Tuesday where the mercury will struggle to climb at all. Bitter winds will usher one of the colder air masses of the season. Highs will be in the 10’s and Lwr 20’s despite the increasing sunshine. Wind chills will be below zero and in the single digits as winds will be gusting over 30 mph. Arctic High pressure will crest over head through the midweek. The winds will not be as harsh by Wednesday and the cold air will begin to lift, but still it will be cold with abundant sunshine with highs in the 20’s

New Year’s Storm?
Our next storm will be coming out of the Pacific, tapping into Gulf of Mexico moisture and taking a trip up the Atlantic seaboard. It is hard to say how strong this storm will be or how much snow we will receive at this point…but there will be something developing off the coast around New Year’s Eve or New Year’s Day which will likely deposit more snowfall over New England as we usher in 2010 or shortly thereafter. There is obviously plenty of uncertainty this far out…but this low could become trapped and swirl off our coast right through next weekend. The potential exists for a significant storm to develop which could bring 1-2 feet of snowfall….yet at the same time it may not happen like at all. The Winter Classic at Fenway park will likely be affected by this storm New Year’s Day.

Cold Times Ahead
Pressures will be rising in the North Atlantic around this time…as that usually is a sign of a buckling jetstream which is favorable for more storm development. It also allows cold Arctic air to spill into the the USA..especially the Northeast! Expect January to get off to a cold start across much of the nation. Is another Blizzard in the making in this back and forth pattern??? Crystal Ball says chances are good…but future is cloudy. One of the models has a another major storm around January 7th….Heavy Snow and Harsh Cold is likely in our near future. But for now…let’s remain focused on the the here and now.

Plenty of Sunshine with less wind today will make this Sunday the Pick of the weekend. Highs will average above normal climbing into the lwr to mid 50’s in southern New England. Considering we should be in the mid 40’s this time of year, for the end of November we are doing great! Cooler air remains in place across the far north today with a few more clouds and highs only in the 30’s and lwr 40’s. It has been a great run this month. But the writing is on the wall and the inevitable cool down is on the way starting this week.

Monday we will be tracking a cold front across New England. This will come with a few showers mostly west in the morning, with steady showers at the coast for the afternoon. The mild flow ahead of the front will keep temps in the 50’s right at the coast…especially Southeast. Winds will pick up a bit too in the afternoon. The front will be off the coast by Monday night and a seasonably cool airmass will charge in for Tuesday. Highs will only be in the 30’s north and lwr-mid 40’s south, nothing too cool for this time of year….but it will seem very chilly after this very mild month…which has averaged 2-3 degrees above normal. Dry weather will remain in place through Wednesday, with our focus turning to the Gulf.

This next weather maker will be loaded with moisture. This wave of energy, which has origins in the Pacific, will tap Gulf of mexico Moisture and become a strengthening Low as it moves up the East coast and should track right through New England. This will come with some warm, tropical air…so I am expecting mostly rain to develop Wednesday Night into Thursday. Rain will be heavy at times with a few inches of rain possible. It will also be a quick moving system and the jetstream will help to keep this moving along. Behind this low will be cooler dry air to follow as pressure will rise behind this storm and allow a dry and cool 1st weekend of December.

Looking West, Arctic air will be plunging into the US this week and will start to become a major player in our December pattern for the weeks ahead. Winter is knock knock knockin’ on our door! Any winterizing of the home left to do should be done this week if you have been procrastinating in the mild November weather.

An early November warming trend is underway! Wonderful late season warmth for the next few days averagin 10 to 15 degrees above normal. A midweek cold front will return temps to more typical November temperatures. Meanwhile, Category 1 Hurricane Ida is entering the Gulf! Full Forecast Discussion Inside.

We are eyeing much warmer air currently in place in the Mississippi & Ohio River Valleys. High pressure south of New England will provide plenty of sunshine for the weekend through the start of next week. As this high pulls away it is starting to direct some of this unseasonal warmth into the northeast for a few days, giving us temperatures averaging well above normal for November with the feel of Indian Summer! Yes, one of the last gasps of warmth before the real cold starts to take hold. It is considered to be a significant warm up which occurs after a widespread killing frost or freeze. I am pretty certain we will meet that criteria. The peak of the warmth will be here Monday and Tuesday with highs in the 60’s nearing 70.

By Tuesday Night into early Wednesday morning we will be tracking a cold front which will try to restore order and balance to our atmosphere. This front will come with some showers by Tuesday night which may mix with snow showers in the NW higher terrain. Tropical Storm Ida is gaining strength in the Carribean as it will pass by the tip of the Yukatan peninsula, and head into the Gulf of Mexico by Tonight- Monday. Ida will have another 24 hours to gain strength to possibly a Category 2 before it will weaken before making landfall as a weaker but still very potent storm sometime around later Tuesday-Wednesday. Where and when this will make landfall still remains a bit unclear, but chances are it’s impact will be somewhere from Louisiana to the Panhandle of Florida. The moisture from this storm will be breaking off and may become steered up the east coast and become a strengthening low off the Atlantic seaboard Wednesday. Some of the moisture and energy from Ida may get entrained into the cold front which will be sweeping through Tuesday Night/Wednesday. Lucky for us, this front will act as a broom and sweep away and keep most of the heaviest rain south of New England. Expect a cool raw day Wednesday with showers and a cool Northeast wind which will be gusting upt to 30+mph. There is still uncertainty to the midweek forecast so stay tuned to further developments. Drier air to follow for the end of the week, thanks to building high pressure behind the front with moderating temps back into the 50’s

This image from the CrownOfMaine.com cam from 9 AM shows the fourth snow in nine days here in New England. The snow and ice have changed to rain now, as much warmer winds move in.
Scattered showers with periodic downpours will be in place for most of the day, especially in central and Northern New England. The rainfall will be more spotty in nature south…with spotty light rain and drizzle…with extended periods of dry weather, especially by afternoon. So not all is lost today…but obviously not ideal weather to start the weekend. A warm front is pushing northward today. It will take much of the day to finally push through southern New England, but once it is throughn winds will pick up from the SSE direction and a rise in temperatures will be underway. By late afternoon, highs will be climbing into the mid 60’s in southern New England. It will be a balmy, mild, almost tropical airmass in place through the evening. Northern New England will remain on the cooler and more unsettled side of the front. Periodic downpours through the day expected. Rain will be heavy at times. Northern New England will see upto 2-3 inches of rain before this all ends Sunday Morning.

A cold front will be on the move Saturday night. This will be a strong energized front with plenty of lift in the atmosphere to squeeze out any available tropical moisture. Strong winds aloft may mix down to the surface ahead of this front and may produce damaging winds with gusts over 40+ mph for the Cape and the Islands and Down east Maine tonight. The main bulk of rain will be pushing through as a squall line after 7 PM tonight. The line will be reaching the coast around 10-11 PM. This line of downpours will likley come with torrential rain, gusty winds and embedded thunder. It will all be off the coast by sunrise tomorrow. Generally 1-1.5″ of rain expected in southern New England

Skies will be clearing Sunday with breezy NW winds. Highs will be seasonal in the 50’s and lwr 60’s.
Building high pressure will allow for a dry and pleasant start to the week, before our next chance of showers by Tuesday.

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER REPORTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1230 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS
FOR THE STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED
TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS…COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS…SKYWARN SPOTTERS
AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR
HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/CARIBOU

********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
SNOWFALL OF
(INCHES) MEASUREMENT

MAINE

…AROOSTOOK COUNTY…
ESTCOURT STATION 2.0 1223 PM 10/24 SPOTTER AR015
FREEDOM ACRES 1.0 1224 PM 10/24 SPOTTER AR019
MADAWASKA 1.0 1014 AM 10/24 SPOTTER AR037
VAN BUREN 1.0 1226 PM 10/24 SPOTTER AR075
CARIBOU WFO 0.8 1227 PM 10/24 ASOS KCAR
STOCKHOLM 0.8 1227 PM 10/24 SPOTTER AR076
FORT KENT MILLS 0.5 1224 PM 10/24 SPOTTER AR054
LILLE 0.3 1226 PM 10/24 SPOTTER AR034
EAGLE LAKE T 1227 PM 10/24 SPOTTER AR048
SAINT AGATHA T 1225 PM 10/24 SPOTTER AR073
SAINT FRANCIS T 1223 PM 10/24 SPOTTER AR074

***********************STORM TOTAL ICE***********************

LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
ICE OF
(INCHES) MEASUREMENT

MAINE

…AROOSTOOK COUNTY…
MADAWASKA 0.10 1014 AM 10/24 SPOTTER AR037
FREEDOM ACRES T 1224 PM 10/24 SPOTTER AR019
SAINT AGATHA T 1225 PM 10/24 SPOTTER AR073
STOCKHOLM T 1227 PM 10/24 SPOTTER AR076
VAN BUREN T 1226 PM 10/24 SPOTTER AR075

$$

FOSTER

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER REPORTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS FOR THE STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION
IS EXTENDED TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS…COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS…SKYWARN
SPOTTERS AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO
AVAILABLE ON OUR HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON

********************STORM TOTAL RAINFALL********************

LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
RAINFALL OF
(INCHES) MEASUREMENT

NEW YORK

…ST. LAWRENCE COUNTY…
POTSDAM 1.17 653 AM 10/24 SPOTTER

VERMONT

…ADDISON COUNTY…
SALISBURY 2 N 1.34 400 PM 10/24 COOP

…CALEDONIA COUNTY…
SAINT JOHNSBURY 1.39 400 PM 10/24 COOP

…RUTLAND COUNTY…
CASTLETON 3.25 545 PM 10/24 SPOTTER
RUTLAND STATE 1.99 555 PM 10/24 AWOS

…WASHINGTON COUNTY…
NORTH CALAIS 2.02 512 PM 10/24 SPOTTER

…WINDSOR COUNTY…
SPRINGFIELD 1.57 558 PM 10/24 ASOS

***********************PEAK WIND GUST***********************

LOCATION PEAK WIND TIME/DATE COMMENTS
GUST OF
(MPH) MEASUREMENT

NEW YORK

…FRANKLIN COUNTY…
TUPPER LAKE 41 200 AM 10/24 MESONET
UPPER SARANAC LAKE 40 300 AM 10/24 MESONET

VERMONT

…CHITTENDEN COUNTY…
COLCHESTER REEF 45 315 AM 10/24 MARINE
NASHVILLE 1 E 39 129 AM 10/24 NWS EMPLOYEE
BOLTON 37 510 AM 10/24 AOT

…LAMOILLE COUNTY…
CAMBRIDGE 51 256 AM 10/24 SPOTTER

…RUTLAND COUNTY…
RUTLAND STATE 40 1055 PM 10/23 AWOS

$$

LAHIFF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT…SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1126 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME… …EVENT… …CITY LOCATION… …LAT.LON…
..DATE… ….MAG…. ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. …SOURCE….
..REMARKS..

0945 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG SANDWICH 41.76N 70.50W
10/24/2009 BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE BRANCHES DOWN ON WIRES ON WATER STREET.

1025 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PLYMPTON 41.95N 70.82W
10/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRE DOWN FROM HOUSE TO THE POLE.

1054 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG COVENTRY 41.68N 71.65W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

LIMBS DOWN PAST HOUR VARIOUS LOCATIONS PER POLICE

1056 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WEST GREENWICH 41.63N 71.65W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

RTE 3 LIMBS DOWN.

1108 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WEST WARWICK 41.70N 71.52W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN PERKINS STEEET

1108 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG FREETOWN 41.82N 71.05W
10/24/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN BRAYLEY ROAD NEAR CHASE ROAD.

1111 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG MIDDLEBOROUGH 41.90N 70.93W
10/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

LIMB AND WIRES DOWN OAKLEY ST.

1115 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG LAKEVILLE 41.85N 70.95W
10/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE TREE BLOCKING ROAD.

1119 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG DIGHTON 41.82N 71.12W
10/24/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE BRANCH ON WIRES CAUSING POWER OUTAGE.

1122 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG NEW BEDFORD 41.66N 70.94W
10/24/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE BRANCH AND WIRES

1124 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG TAUNTON 41.90N 71.09W
10/24/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

TREE DOWN BLOCKING SOUTH PRECINCT ST.

1124 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG SOMERSET 41.74N 71.16W
10/24/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

TREES DOWN.

1124 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG DUXBURY 42.04N 70.67W
10/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

TREES DOWN.
WDRAG

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER REPORTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1137 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE PAST FEW
HOURS FOR THE STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION.
APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS…COOPERATIVE
OBSERVERS…SKYWARN SPOTTERS AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS
SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/GRAY

********************STORM TOTAL RAINFALL********************

LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
RAINFALL OF
(INCHES) MEASUREMENT

MAINE

….CUMBERLAND COUNTY…
PORTLAND-N DEERING 1.19 930 PM 10/24

…KNOX COUNTY…
ISLE AU HAUT 1.80 828 PM 10/24

…SOMERSET COUNTY…
TURNER BROOK RAWS 1.26 818 PM 10/24
SAINT AURELIE 0.60 819 PM 10/24

NEW HAMPSHIRE

…BELKNAP COUNTY…
LACONIA 2.60 1000 PM 10/24
TILTON 2.53 910 PM 10/24
MEREDITH 2.40 948 PM 10/24

…GRAFTON COUNTY…
BRIDGEWATER 3.00 1100 PM 10/24
NORTH HAVERHILL 2.09 707 PM 10/24
BRISTOL 2.02 736 PM 10/24

…SULLIVAN COUNTY…
WEST UNITY 2.50 701 PM 10/24

Early clouds will give way to increasing sunshine and breezy conditions today. The sunshine will stick around for the rest of the holiday weekend. Excellent weather for leaf peeping or apple picking! Keep an eye to the west! There is a lot of cold air out there…and it will be pushing eastward to provide chilly times for the midweek! Full forecast discussion inside!

Plenty of clouds out there this morning, as an area of low pressure is pushing through southern New England. A brief soaking rainfall during the overnight is now off the coast and clouds are already starting to break in the interior. A cold front will be pushing off the coast by late morning. Behind this front, breezy drying Northwest winds will shift in by the afternoon. Skies will be clearing from west to east as the day progresses. Lingering clouds in southeast MA may take until the early afternoon to finally break. A mild start on Saturday morning in the 50’s will be a nice spring board for our temps to warm up into the 60’s this afternoon with increasing sunshine. Some areas in the south will try to reach 70 today. Clear skies and lighter winds this evening as weak high pressure builds in. Expect lows to drop down into the 30’s and 40’s overnight. A frosty morning in the NW valleys by Sunday morning.

After a cool start Sunday morning, Sunshine will fill the crisp fall air. A weak cold front will move through during the afternoon with a few afternoon cumulus…or even a passing shower in the northern mountains. Highs will be cooler Sunday with a steady westerly breeze. Highs will mainly be in the 50’s and lwr 60’s. Just Ideal fall weather! High pressure builds again for Sunday night into Monday allowing for mainly clear skies will crisp cool clear nights and a seasonably cool pleasant Monday for our holiday.

By Monday night clouds will be on the increase ahead of our next cold front. This front will have a bit more juice along with it. So the chance of periodic showers exists for Tuesday…nothing heavy. Just enough cold air in place where the mountain tops will be seeing snow showers. Behind this front we will begin a transition to the real chill for the midweek. Downright winter conditions are occurring from the Rockies to the Northern plains today. In fact the Phillies and Rockies may be playing baseball tonight in temperatures in the 20’s! If played, this will likely be remembered as the coldest playoff game ever played. This should be quite a sight! The cold air mass will be shifting and lifting eastward by the time of it’s arrival later Wednesday and Thursday. Highs will average in the 40’s to the north and lwr 50’s to the south by that time. Plenty of sunshine as high pressure slides from Canada into the ohio valley.

We will track our next rain maker to arrive hear by Friday. This should provide a soaking rain to end the week, with cooler breezy and drier conditions by next weekend behind this departing low with winds out of the northeast. There is plenty of cool in this pattern with a persistant trough in the northeast. Expect more frosty mornings ahead with temps cool enough that some of you will be tempted to put the heat on or start the woodstove in the coming days! We are at peak color in north this weekend, with the brightes collors being found in the hills and valleys along many country roads. A great weekend for a road trip and for getting outside and exploring!

Heavy rain is pushing into New England to start the weekend, but drier weather returns by Sunday with above normal temperatures! Let us not forget as skies clear to end the weekend, Sunday Night we will see a beautiful full Harvest Moon in the evening sky. Full Weather Discussion Inside!

Pockets of heavy rain with embedded thunderstorms are pushing into southern New England Saturday morning. The rain will come down heavy at times with rainfall rates upto 1″ and hour. Where downpours are occurring there will be localized street flooding. The heaviest rain this morning appears to be in Rhode Island, and eastern Massachusetts. This initial batch of rain is along a warm front that will try to push through southern New England today. The heaviest rain will lift into northern New England for the afternoon. The rain will become more showery south, as the warm front pushes to the Mass Pike. Temperatures will climb into the 60’s to near 70 behind the front. Northern New England remains on the cooler wet side of the front with highs mostly staying in the 50’s. Heavier rain will be in Maine this afternoon.
A slow moving cold front will edge it’s way into New England tonight. This will become a boundary for our next wave of rain to ride up along and back into southern New England tonight through early Sunday. Again, the heaviest rain will be found in Eastern MA…especially over the Cape & Islands later tonight with a chance of a few thunderstorms. Inland, the precipitation will be more scattered and light overnight with areas of fog. A total of 1-2″ of rain is likely by Sunday Morning in eastern New England.

Sunday Morning will be a wet start right at the coast. An area of low pressure off our coast will pull away taking it’s early morning rain and cold front along with it. Behind the cold front, a drier westerly wind will develop by the afternoon where clouds will be breaking with increasing afternoon sunshine from west to east. The last to see the sun will be the coast. Highs will be climbing into the 60’s and 70’s behind this front. It will be a very mild & pleasant Sunday Afternoon! With clearing skies, expect a beautiful night for the full Harvest Moon to make its appearance! My favorite time of year!

High pressure will slide in to start off the work week for Monday & Tuesday. An upper level trough will still be in place, so cooler air aloft will allow for cumulus development Monday PM…and even a brief PM shower or sprinkle in the Northwest. Temperatures will cool a bit..a seasonal airmass in the mid 60’s, before another wave of rain will approach for the midweek..arriving here late Tuesday Night through Wednesday Morning.

We are still under the influence of an upper level low pressure system, which is currently over the Canadian border. Counter-clockwise rotation of air around the low is supplying the chill down at the ground, but also up above where it is much colder. The sun has heated the surface already this morning, and the cumulus have begun their vertical ascent. A partly to mostly cloudy appearance to the sky this afternoon with temperatures running below normal mostly in the 50’s. A stray shower or sprinkle can not be ruled out in the NW hills. Skies will be clearing overnight as our upper low starts to pull away and pressure on the rise. Another cool night with lows dipping into the 30’s and 40’s. High pressure on the move for Friday will mean more abundant sunshine. As the high pulls off the coast, winds will shift to the south allowing for slightly warmer temperatures Friday. The cold heavy at the air will not be in a hurry to leave, so the lighter warmer air will override the cooler air forming clouds along a warm front. Showers will develop on this warm front Friday night and push into western New England late.

This weekend we will be tracking an energized slow moving cold front. Saturday will start out showery, cloudy and damp. SSE winds will try to bring in warmer air into the 60’s. Any wind off the water this time of year can make it feel raw, but inland temps will try to get to 70. Showers will transition to pockets of heavy rain by later in the afternoon as a wave of low pressure gathers on the cold front. Tropical moisture will be heading up the coast which could enhance the rainfall. The heavy rains will continue through Saturday Night and Early Sunday morning. In some of these downpours easily 1-3″ of rain could occur if everything comes together. That is the catch! Just how strong and how fast is this front going to be?
If this front is more progressive, we have a shot at lighter amounts of rain and also a improved Sunday forecast to look forward to. If the cold front slows more with this developing wave along it, well…Houston we have a problem. This will mean a heavier rain, localized flooding and rain lingering through the morning on Sunday. Right now, we will play optimistic with the weekend and call for slow improvement Sunday with a damp start and breaking PM clouds. High pressure builds in for the start of next week for a couple days of sunshine before another batch of rain is here by midweek.

Our beautiful crisp start to the weekend is a forgotten memory. Clouds are here to stay with rain heading into New England for Sunday. After a warmer than normal start to the week, the fall chill returns for the midweek…this time with lots of clouds. Full weather discussion inside!

Rain has overspread the region early this morning. It has already tapered to light showers and drizzle in some areas. An area of low pressure will approach Southern New England by tomorrow afternoon. The Rain will remain showery in nature, but there will be occasional downpours where the rain will be heavy at times. Winds will pick up out of the Southeast and could gust to 30 mph on the Cape. Increasing ocean swell, especially by late in the day into Sunday Night. By the time the rain winds down Sunday night, many areas will have received between .25″-1.0″ of soaking rain. Expect the clouds to be breaking overnight.

An upper level ridge will build in behind our departing low. Look for sunny skies and warming temperatures as the kids head back to school. Highs on Monday will be in the 70’s with some nearing 80 degrees!
A cold front will approach late in the day which will spark a few evening showers.

Unfortunatey the ridge will be short lived because another trough is digging into the northeast for the midweek. This cool pool of air will help to destabilize the air and keep plenty of clouds around in the Tuesday-Thursday time frame. A few scattered light showers or sprinkles can not be ruled out each day.
Breezy West-Northwest winds will pour in colder air from Canada and break down any warmth in place left over from Monday. A breezy cooler and cloudy midweek with highs in the 50’s and lwr 60’s.

After a bit of cloudy funk through the midweek, we should be able to shake the clouds and the cool and return our temperatures back to more seasonal levels…60’s…with more sunshine as we head into next weekend…the first weekend of October.

Above normal temperatures Wednesday are on the way out as we head towards the weekend. In fact, a noticeable chill will be in the air on Friday with highs struggling to climb into the 60’s. The weekend starts off fantastic with sunshine and 60’s, but rain will likely develop by Sunday. Full forecast discussion inside

A cold front is on the move Wednesday night. Clouds with scattered showers and storms will weaken over New England overnight. Thursday will start off mild with temps in the 60’s. Lingering low clouds in southern New England with a chance for a few lingering showers..especially along the south coast. The cold front will push off the coast as the morning progresses and take the clouds along with it. Skies will be increasing with sunshine from North to south with clearing skies. After a mild start…it will take just a little sun to quickly bump our temperatures back into the 70’s. So despite a cold front off shore…temps still remain warm and above normal Thursday. Colder air will be on the move across the far north, but mostly wait until Thursday night to finally start to settle in over the region.

As High pressure builds south from Canada, winds will shift back to the cool Northeast direction. Ocean-effect clouds may linger along the coast with the breezy cool wind over the warmer water. Temperatures will average in the lwr 60’s with plenty of sunshine into the weekend as the high crests over New England.

After a cool start, a gradual moderation by Saturday, highs still in the 60’s with sunshine. We will be tracking an upper lever low and warm front which will be approaching late Saturday night, but mainly Sunday. The second half of the weekend will feature periodic rain…and even a few downpours. The rain will be gone later Sunday, with a mostly dry start to the week. Looking ahead…temperatures will likely average below normal next week. Not much warmth in this current pattern.

The “Fall-Feel” has already been doing the dirty work across the far north where crisp cool overnights have allowed the colors in the trees to already start to come out! Moderate color being reported in Aroostook, ME…Littleton, NH and Stowe, VT….It’s coming! Many of these areas could be in peak as early as Oct. 4th!

Building High Pressure north of New England is providing a breezy, cool crisp Canadian Airmass for the weekend. Skies will be filled with sunshine, but early mornings may come with some frost..especially in the northwestern valleys! Sunshine and more seasonal weather returns for the start of next week. Temperatures will even average above normal just in time for the Autumnal Equinox! Full Forecast discussion inside!

Breezy NW winds are providing a cooler airmass to the region for Saturday. Afternoon highs will mostly be in the 60’s, but remain in the 50’s in the far north, closer to the source of this unseasonably cool air mass. The strongest winds will be found on the Cape this morning where winds could gust to 30 mph. Winds will be diminishing through the day as the high slides south from Canada. This will give way to a clear, cool, and calm night. Lows will be dipping down into the 30’s across most of northern and western New England. Most NW valleys will be vulnerable to frost developing in the overnight hours. A frost advisory has been issue for the north, with a freeze warning for the far north. Those of you with interests in vegetation, or potted plants will want to cover them up this evening to prolong their life…other wise consider it the beginning of the end of the growing season for parts of New England.

As the high slides off the coast Sunday, a warmer west wind will develop and direct a slightly warmer more seasonal aimass to us. Highs will still remain in the 60’s north and lwr to mid 70’s south. The sunshine and and comfortable air will remain with us through Monday, before clouds will be on the increase for the midweek. Our departing high will help direct moisture and low clouds toward the Northeast with a Southwest wind. Skies will be clouding over Tuesday, with even a chance for a few showers. The better chance for showers will come on Wednesday with a passage of a cold front. Ahead of this front temperatures will remain mild in the 70’s..just in time for the Autumnal Equinox. Yep! Summa is Ova!
Fall officially begins Tuesday September 22nd at 5:19 PM. Make sure to get out and soak up any summer sunshine while you can while it lasts!

A Damp and cloudy start to Sunday will give way to increasing afternoon sunshine and a string of pleasant days to start the work week. A developing low is getting it’s act together in the Gulf of Mexico. Will this increased moisture become a player in our weather before the week is through? Full Forecast Discussion Inside!

What a night last night in southern Plymouth and west Barnstable counties! Serious flash flooding occurred in slow moving downpours which were raining at times 3-4″ an hour! As much as 4-7″ of rain fell in this area last night. Widespread reports of basement and street flooding in the towns of Bourne, Plymouth, Onset, Sandwich and Wareham. Roads were being closed as some cars and motorists became stranded in the rapidly rising water. In some cases over 1-2 feet of water covered the roads, making the situation very dangerous for nighttime drivers who can easily get caught driving into huge puddles which appear black at night. Luckily no reports of any injuries.

Sunday Morning is starting of a bit grey and damp at the coast….but drier air is on the move as winds are shifting to the north behind our departing low. Morning clouds will be breaking by midday at the coast, though it will likely take most of the day to shake the clouds in southeast MA and the Cape & islands.
Temperatures will warm into the 70’s with the increasing sunshine and a land breeze, but remain a little cooler at our beaches with a few more clouds and a slight onshore wind at times. A cold front is draped across the Canadian Border this morning. There are even a few spotty showers. This will push through today-tonight and provide a few clouds as well. This will move all this junk away tonight…with overnight clearing and a gorgeous Monday ahead! Highs will still remain in the 70’s Monday with sunshine, but another cold front will be on the move from Canada. This front will change the airmass and make it feel a bit cooler by Tuesday with highs in the 60’s and lwr 70’s. For the most part, we will have a string of three days of nice comfortable weather.

After that, things become a bit more complicated. Our computer models are diverging a bit on whether our weather will be controlled by the polar jet stream…thus cool dry air from Canada….or a merging of the sub-tropical jetsream and the polar jet, which will include warm moist air from the gulf interatcting with cooler dry air from Canada…and thus a boundary to form separating the airmasses and a trigger of lift in the atmosphere for a few waves of rain to be directed up into the northeast. Honestly, I would like to see a few more model runs to have more certainty with how this midweek pattern will play out. But given the information I have….I have included increasing clouds for the Wednesday-Friday Timeframe, with a chance of rain developing. A cool east wind with the unsettled conditions will keep us in the 50’s and lwr 60’s. Ugh. Hopefully the drier trend will prevail…but for now let keep our eye on the gulf…and expect some unsettled weather until further notice. As always…enjoy the good weather while it lasts!

Enjoy this dry and pleasant Sunday, because a warm front is on the move! This warm front will usher in a hot and steamy airmass for the start of the work week which will have us running for air conditioning. Luckily the intense heat and humidity will be short lived. Look inside for details of what to expect for the coming days

A beautiful Sunday morning across New England as we continue to bask in these wonderfully wonderful conditions of light winds and low humidity, while much of the eastern half of the nation is sweltering under intense heat and humidity. The hottest air of the season is working east and will have a fairly large impact for eastern metropolitain areas which have yet to really see this kind of heat yet this summer! Hard to believe as we sit here in mid-August. The last time we reached the lwr 90’s in Boston was May 21st…so this heat will be something we are not quite used to. If you watch Matt Noyes in the morning and his facebook poll of “What is Hot”….I think Monday we will find a new threshold “What is Hot”… Many will be saying….”Now this is Hot!”

Clouds will be on the increase this afternoon ahead of the approaching warm front. Pieces of energy will continue to spill around the heat ridge in place. Eventually the combination of this approaching short wave and the enhanced lift of the warm front will provide our best chance of any showers or thunderstorms to relegated for the evening hours, especially in the west, where we could briefly see a heavy downpour or stronger T’storm develop. We remain dry at the coast all day and pretty much right through the night. The warm front will push through this evening with clouds, fog, and mild air to follow in behind. As the warm front pushes through Monday, winds will shift to the WSW dirtection, which will open the door for the Hot, hazy and humid airmass to push into New England. I am expecting highs to climb to near 90 to 95 degrees by the afternoon. Dewpoints in the lwr 70’s will make the airmass quite uncomfortable. Poor air quality is likely as well. With the heat and the humidity, the heat index will approach 100 degrees near Springfield & Hartford. This is the kind of weather where you need to make plans to stay cool and seek air conditioning for a time.

The atmosphere will be so warm in the lower to mid levels that this should help to put a lid on any convection for most of the day, but the potential does exist for the the chance of a few scattered storms to pop in the west…which could become severe should the cap break later Monday, mostly after 5 PM. A short wave will ride along a stationary front in place in Northern New England Monday Night & Tuesday. Much of the region will remain warm and humid through Tuesday with highs well into the 80’s to near 90. The additional clouds cover will help cool the temps down a bit, but the atmosphere will remain juiced and humid, so the potential continues for any showers will come with the occasional downpour or strong T’storm.

Once the cold front pushes off the coast Tuesday Night, drier air will arrive for the midweek with cooler and drier conditions. Less humidity and seasonably warm temperatures will remain into next weekend with highs ranging from 80 to 85 degrees.

Dry Air is on the move for the second half of the weekend. Beautiful beach weather for Sunday! But The battle of the cool dry air over the Great Lakes, with a warm and humid airmass surging north along the Eastern Seaboard will make the weather less ideal once again for the week ahead. Full Discussion Inside!

Clearing skies this evening with falling dewpoints with a light west wind will allow for a gorgeous summer evening outside. Lows is bottom out in the 50’s and lwr 60’s…very close to the dewpoints, which will allow fog to form by dawn. After a little early fog Sunday, Sunny skies will prevail as high pressure bulids in from the west. Warming west winds will provide another warm day in the lwr to mid 80s in central and southern New England…eastern facing beaches will have a land breeze for most of the day!
Nice and toasty without the humidity will make Sunday absolutley marvelous!

Meanwhile, while we enjoy the influence of high pressure with sunshine, light winds and seasonal temperatures into a Monday, a stalled boundary off our coastline will be gaining steam. This boundary will be the dividing line between unseasonably cool and dry air pushing east from the Great lakes, and Energy and moisture be directed up the Eastern US coastline by an area of high pressure off the coast.
This stalled front will be anchored off our coast from Tuesday-Thursday…providing occasional bouts of rain and embedded thunderstorms…with locally heavy downpours. A very humid feel will be felt this week with areas of fog mixing in at night. Highs will remain in the 70’s. Timing the downpours this far out is a lesson in futility, but at this point it appears rain could fall at any time Tuesday-Friday…though it will not be raining the whole time obviously.

I have heard several complaints about the heat and humidity the past two days. These were the only two days we averaged above normal this whole month! We finally get a little summer warmth and the complaints are already there! Incredible. If the heat and humidity is not for you…consider yourself lucky. There are many other places in this country where it is hotter and more humid on a daily basis. I guess after being so cool this summer these past two days were a bit of a thermal shock for some!
The flowers, tomatoes, and zucchini are loving it…and so am I! Great to have you visit summer!
I hope you can stick around a little while longer…ugly warts and all!

A wonderful weekend of weather ahead! A front will move through tonight providing a few heavy downpours and embedded thunderstorms. Don’t sweat it…The next 5 days are a delight! Full forecast discussion inside!

Beautiful sunshine to start off the weekend. Warming southerly winds will allow temps to climb into the 70’s and lwr 80’s today. Much more summer-like…even at our eastern facing beaches. A stellar beach day. High clouds will be on the increase by the afternoon. Winds will start to pick up as well ahead of an approaching cold front. Winds could gust up to 30 mph. Late day showers and thunderstorms will push into Vermont between 5-7 PM. Locally heavy downpours with embedded thunderstorms are likely across the north tonight, and then transition into southern New England later tonight after midnight. Some of the storms could become strong with gusty winds and frequent lightning, and localized flash flooding. Upto an 1+” of rain could fall in downpours. Heavy rain will be ending at the coast by dawn on Sunday.

After a cloudy and damp start to Sunday, clouds will be breaking and pushing off the coast. Skies will clear to increasing sunshine and comfortable conditions by midday Sunday as highs will remain in the 70’s
Another weak upper level disturbance will cross the north country on Monday which could spark a brief PM shower or thunderstorm, but the dry air in place will help try to prevent this. We are looking at a great stretch of weather which will provide seasonable weather and sunshine right through the midweek.

Our next front approaches by late Wednesday and Thursday which will feature more clouds and a chance of showers, drier air to follow should allow for another favorable weekend ahead.
Still, despite the much improved weather, a trough still remains in place in the Northeast, thanks to unseasonable cool air in Canada, and the intense heat to the south. Occasional pieces of energy continue to spill out of Canada to reinforce the trough in the Northeast which is supressing the heat and humidity south…and preventing any substancial summer warmth from heading here.
Will we ever hit 90 degrees this summer? I am beginning to have my doubts. Is this a year without a summer? If you regard summer as having a series of sultry warm & hot days..well you might be onto something. The pattern just does not seem to want to warm up at all…at least in the northeast.
Hopefully, August will treat us to some of that summertime heat some of us are craving. I am not one to complain. This weather is absolutely perfect!!! Enjoy.

Joe Joyce